ESPN’s Bill Connelly - Returning Production Rankings
https://www.espn.com/college-footba...otball-teams-returning-production-2023-season
Which looks at which programs return the most production from last year’s teams. This category is one of the three factors that go into his SP+ rankings and account for a majority of the formula.
Georgia
checked in at No. 80 in the rankings, returning 61% of its production from last season. Connelly also breaks it down by offensive and defensive production. Georgia returns 52% on offense (109th nationally) and 70% on defense (42nd nationally).
https://ugawire.usatoday.com/2023/0...-returning-production-in-2023-wheres-georgia/
Gators come in at No. 107 in the country, the Florida Gators are expected to have a lot of new faces on both sides of the ball. The offensive returning production comes in at No. 103 with 55% returning production, while the defensive returning production comes in at No. 91 with 53% returning production.
https://gatorswire.usatoday.com/2023/02/07/florida-football-returning-production-sp-espn/
The formula
Connelly’s exact formula changes by year, but has the same overall concept. On offense, he tracks the percentage of returning wide receiver or tight end receiving yards, quarterback passing yards, offensive line snaps and running back rushing yards and assigns a weight to each of them.
This year’s weights, according to Connelly:
• Quarterback passing yards: 23 percent - Gator's score = 0.
• Running back rushing yards: 6 percent - Gator's score 90 %
AR not a RB; but he is gone & so are his numbers.
• Receiver/tight end yards: 24 percent of the overall number - Ricky Pearsall only returning receiver of note; so not sure
• Returning OL snaps: 47 percent - Kingsley Eguakun only true returner; score likely to be low.
Those weights are influenced by prior years’ data and what positions proved to be the most important returners (or created the biggest holes by having fewer returners), not numbers Connelly randomly decides himself.
https://www.on3.com/teams/notre-dam...ng-production-rankings-bill-connelly-offense/
EDIT
GD3 & Tebow Time
To avoid the ignominious - THUMBS DOWN that both of you would hurl at me for having to pay the super secret access fees, I tracked down the Rankings for the Gators & Dawgs & included them in my post ! LOL