I had this exact conversation with TampaGator. We did in fact just witness a season that bears striking resemblance to 2012 with multiple tight (some would say lucky) wins built largely on turnover margin, a dominant defense with a bunch of future NFL players left by the last guy, and a meager offense. Because of these similarities, I remain will remain very cautiously optimistic about Mac until we see him get some systemic improvements on O, consistency on D as Muschamp's guys leave, and especially an uptick in recruiting, which remains average at best considering the circumstances.
There ARE a lot of similarities between the performance this year and the one in 2012; anemic offense, strong defense and a big turnover margin in our favor.
The difference? When Muschamp was questioned about the need to improve his anemic offense, he famously said that was the way these Gators were going to win games. That was his model. He was going to run this kind of offense no matter what.
By contrast, when McElwain is questioned about his offense, he remains dissatisfied with the way it is working. He seems to know that area of his team needs a lot of improvement.
The question on the table is can McElwain improve the offense? Where Muschamp saw no need to open things up, McElwain knows his team cannot be one dimensional. But he seems to know that it is going to take a much better QB than Harris to do it. This coaching staff could not get Harris to improve. Whether that is on Harris or on the coaching staff remains to be seen.
I get where Ghost and oozie are coming from when they insist that this offense this year was not appreciably better than the one last year. Some overall stats certainly prove that out. Some of them are misleading, imo. But whether one agrees with that or not, I think the biggest difference is philosophy.
For example, in 2012, the Muschamp offense threw the ball 91 times on first down, or 25% of the time. With the results of 1 TD, 2 ints, a QBR of 113 and an average per completion of 9 yds. That is pretty bad.
In 2015, the McE offense threw the ball 157 times on first down, or 42% of the time. With results of 9 TDs and 2 ints, a QBR of 139 and an average per completion of 12.8 yards.
Anyone with a brain can see the difference. It is a big difference.
But again, I agree with Ghost and oozie that unless we develop a good QB for next year, then the overall results will not be any better than this year, and maybe worse.
All that said, I am so damn glad Muschamp is no longer our coach and that McE is our coach. I like the guy a lot better. He is more mature, seemingly more intelligent and seems to be a great recruiter.