Official MIDTERMS thread. All polling/key races info goes here please
- Thread starter GhostOfMatchesMalone
- Start date
He isn’t winning tonight. No shot at 50 percent.
Pubs will not control the senate. Shocked I tell ya.
Gonna be close in house. Yahoo has pubs gaining 6 but losing 3
2020 - Meh, I didn't really like Trump anyway.
2022 - Meh, DeSantis won, that's all I really care about.
2024 - OMG THOSE BASTARDS CHEATED RONNIE!!!! No way in hell Hiden beats him by 20M votes!!!! HOW COULD WE LET THIS HAPPEN?????
Drooling, knuckledragging Uncle Fester. Unbelievable. Lost all respect for Pennsylvanians.
Dems gonna win the midterms of the worst president of all-time, with the nation on the brink of another Great Depression, and we got some on 'our side' that still don't think there been any MEANINGFUL cheating.I remember a thread…..
I demand reparations from the porch sitters.
Wasn't mine! 😂 As much as I love a good blowout, I'll take 1 point wins anymore. Too many village idiots wander into the polls, not to mention the "irregularities". I will say this, the Florida legislature has locked down the cheating in this state. Other states have to start pulling their own weight.I remember a thread…..
Right now a 1 point win may not happen. And that’s in the house. Good luck having a mandate to attempt to go after investigations with that.
I don't buy their bunk anymore than you do. "Suburban women's feelz", "mean tweets", etc. I mean, the Dims are unapologetically voting for brain dead, pants pooping, rejects from mental institutions..........so I don't want to hear about "insensitive mean spirited conservatives".
Oz is currently losing by roughly the amount if votes the libertarian has received. Just pointing that out
An estimated 25.4 percent of votes have been counted.
Votes received and percentages of total vote
Votes received and percentages of total vote
| Candidate | Votes | Pct. |
|---|---|---|
Kelly TshibakaGOP | 39,632 | 46.6 |
Lisa Murkowski * incumbent GOP | 34,479 | 40.5 |
Patricia ChesbroDEM | 8,127 | 9.6 |
| Read moreShow more candidates | ||
| An estimated 25.4 percent of votes have been counted. * Incumbent |
Trump and the Trumpers killed the Republican party. Good Job!!! On to defeat in 2024.
How does that ranked choice BS work in Alaska? That's some BS voodoo.
That's a new gerrymandered district...she was SUPPOSED to win
The other new district that was carved out next door went to the democrats
net result = no pickup
absolute disgrace PA allows voting 50 days before the actual Election Day.
Here's your polling "truth" predicting what was going to happen...
"Waves" keep getting smaller & smaller...must be proof climate change isn't real 🤣
https://nymag.com/intelligencer/202...under-robert-cahaly-on-the-2022-midterms.html
Will America’s Most Pilloried Pollster Get It Right Again? A conversation with Trafalgar Group founder Robert Cahaly about his unusual methods.
Q: Where do you see the race for Congress right now? The narrative has been that Democrats saw some surprising momentum in the aftermath of the Dobbs decision but that now Republicans are more in the driver’s seat, which is what you might expect in a midterm. Do you see a red wave happening or something a bit more muddled?
I think there’s a good chance there’s a red wave. The theory I’ve been putting forth is there are a lot of Republicans who are really, really hesitant to participate in polls. And this is different than in 2016, when they were kind of shy if they were voting for Trump. And it’s different than in ’20, where you just had to work a little harder to get to them. To find the majority of Republicans, you had to just dig deeper; you had to make a lot more calls. They were unwilling to take polls, so many of them.
Q: This is what people are telling you? It’s not just a theory — it’s something you’ve heard out in the field?
It’s what people are saying. Here’s another interesting fact: Since Biden’s speech where he declared that he thought the MAGA Republicans were such a threat, we had six different people reach out to us with a screenshot of a poll or a recording of them talking to someone and asking, “Hey, is this you? I didn’t want to take it ’cause I wasn’t sure, and I’m very nervous.” In all the years we’ve been doing this, that’s never happened, and it happens six times since Biden’s speech? It’s completely unreal to us. Let me also clarify that, in every case, it was our poll. It was never someone pretending to be us, which they thought it was. We did look into each one of them because if people were pretending to be us, we wanted to know, but we saw no evidence of that. But I think it’s a mind-set of a lot of quote-unquote “MAGA voters” that somebody’s trying to keep track of.
So is there going to be a wave? I think yes. How big it is, I think the pollsters — including us — will have a hard time measuring it because these voters just literally aren’t reachable.
"Waves" keep getting smaller & smaller...must be proof climate change isn't real 🤣
https://nymag.com/intelligencer/202...under-robert-cahaly-on-the-2022-midterms.html
Will America’s Most Pilloried Pollster Get It Right Again? A conversation with Trafalgar Group founder Robert Cahaly about his unusual methods.
Q: Where do you see the race for Congress right now? The narrative has been that Democrats saw some surprising momentum in the aftermath of the Dobbs decision but that now Republicans are more in the driver’s seat, which is what you might expect in a midterm. Do you see a red wave happening or something a bit more muddled?
I think there’s a good chance there’s a red wave. The theory I’ve been putting forth is there are a lot of Republicans who are really, really hesitant to participate in polls. And this is different than in 2016, when they were kind of shy if they were voting for Trump. And it’s different than in ’20, where you just had to work a little harder to get to them. To find the majority of Republicans, you had to just dig deeper; you had to make a lot more calls. They were unwilling to take polls, so many of them.
Q: This is what people are telling you? It’s not just a theory — it’s something you’ve heard out in the field?
It’s what people are saying. Here’s another interesting fact: Since Biden’s speech where he declared that he thought the MAGA Republicans were such a threat, we had six different people reach out to us with a screenshot of a poll or a recording of them talking to someone and asking, “Hey, is this you? I didn’t want to take it ’cause I wasn’t sure, and I’m very nervous.” In all the years we’ve been doing this, that’s never happened, and it happens six times since Biden’s speech? It’s completely unreal to us. Let me also clarify that, in every case, it was our poll. It was never someone pretending to be us, which they thought it was. We did look into each one of them because if people were pretending to be us, we wanted to know, but we saw no evidence of that. But I think it’s a mind-set of a lot of quote-unquote “MAGA voters” that somebody’s trying to keep track of.
So is there going to be a wave? I think yes. How big it is, I think the pollsters — including us — will have a hard time measuring it because these voters just literally aren’t reachable.
Laxalt closing strong will take Nevada and now leading 49.5 47 with 13 rural counties and Washoe county the second largest county to be counted and they are are heavy republican areas
Lombardo the GOP Governor candidate now ahead of the RAT 50.2 to 46
Lombardo the GOP Governor candidate now ahead of the RAT 50.2 to 46
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Looks like Walker headed for a runoff with the Kommie
note: the libertarian got 81 K votes. many of those will vote for Walker 6 December
538 projects Walker would win the runoff
note: the libertarian got 81 K votes. many of those will vote for Walker 6 December
538 projects Walker would win the runoff
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Very odd that Pennsylvania was able to get its counting done in one night. Weird.
Looking at how NV played out after the next morning with Biden and Trump I think Laxalt may win by a little under 1% which could make a GA runoff for control of the Senate.
the counties outstanding all favor Laxalt and Lombardo. They both are pulling away
It did in 2020 also but Biden still gained another 1.8% from that point due to contested and mail ballots.
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