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Official MIDTERMS thread. All polling/key races info goes here please

Gator Fever said:
Crunching the numbers on this and making some assumptions that some non-Maricopa stuff will mirror 2020 mostly I keep coming up with Lake losing by a very thin 2,000 votes in the best case scenario and a range of about a 2,000 vote loss to about a 7,500 vote loss. Numbers could be different if the non-Maricopa stuff breaks a lot differently than 2020. It looks like the final Maricopa votes would have to give a really good number not many people are expecting to pull off a shocking close win.
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Pima county didn't help Lake last night...she got like 40% of that batch
So throw that into your model

Here's the situation so far, starting with the most recent information:

https://www.azcentral.com/story/new...ot-called-arizona-governors-race/10694946002/

Sunday, Nov. 13​

Maricopa: Maricopa County's Sunday night batch of about 97,000 votes broke for Lake by nearly 10 percentage points. That left about 94,000 votes left to tally in Maricopa.

Pima: On Sunday, Pima County released nearly 12,000 votes, which favored Hobbs over Lake by a 3-to-2 margin.



And for those who keep asking the most basic question over & over...
Eliminating mail-in voting is as about as radical extremist as it gets

Changing the dominant way how states like AZ vote because you believe but cannot prove fraud exists is coming from the same people who believe in state's rights when it comes to elections :rolleyes:

https://www.azcentral.com/story/new...ot-called-arizona-governors-race/10694946002/

Vote counting in Arizona has been ongoing since Tuesday's midterm elections, with officials in the state's 15 counties releasing tallies of votes as they have been processed.

As of Sunday, the margin in the governor's race sat at just over 26,000 votes, with Lake about a point behind. There are still about 171,000 votes left to count in Arizona; Lake needs about 57% of those to overtake Hobbs.

Almost all of Arizona's vote happens by mail, although some voters cast their ballots in-person at voting centers. Most Arizona counties don't count ballots in-house, with officials instead bringing them to a central facility.

Early votes in Arizona can be counted as they come in, meaning that officials don't have to wait until polls close on Election Day to start.

Arizona officials release their vote totals in batches. Much of the focus has been on Maricopa, the state's largest county, with a total of 4.5 million residents — more than half of Arizona's total population — and about 2.4 million registered voters.

But other big releases have been coming from Arizona's next two most populated counties: Pima (home to Tucson) and Pinal, a large, suburban area just south of metro Phoenix.
 
NavigatorII said:
RGG celebrates political investigations as long as they are "the right people". It's time for some BLM grifters to go to jail. Agree? 😂
Click to expand...

Go to jail for what?

You can spend your time on hypotheticals and whataboutism but True The Vote is in court right now and failing to comply doesn't seem to be working out so well for trump operatives does it?
 
RayGravesGhost said:
Go to jail for what?

You can spend your time on hypotheticals and whataboutism but True The Vote is in court right now and failing to comply doesn't seem to be working out so well for trump operatives does it?
Click to expand...
Stealing money from a political action causes to build mansions isn't criminal? 😂

steve-carrell-the-office.gif
 
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You should get out of your conservative echo chamber more... 🤣


There are NO criminal charges relating to BLM

https://www.nytimes.com/2022/05/17/business/blm-black-lives-matter-finances.html
After Raising $90 Million in 2020, Black Lives Matter Has $42 Million in Assets
The organization offered the first official accounting of its finances recently, disclosing a filing to the I.R.S.




But criminal charges are faced by trumpanzees...

https://www.reuters.com/legal/jury-convicts-colorado-man-second-we-build-wall-trial-2022-10-28/
Jury convicts Colorado man in second 'We Build the Wall' trial
2 minute readOctober 28, 20225:38 PM EDTLast Updated 17 days ago


https://www.rollingstone.com/politics/politics-news/trump-fundraising-scam-jan-6-hearing-1367359/
Trump Scammed Supporters Out of $250 Million for Nonexistent Fraud Fund
Supporters who thought they were donating to "election integrity" instead saw some of their money funneled to Trump hotels

BY RYAN BORT
JUNE 13, 2022




And conservative causes are the godfathers of political cons...


https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/nra-spending-more-on-lawyers-as-revenue-falls-membership-lags-1.1842240
NRA Spending More on Lawyers as Revenue Falls, Membership Lags

a-national-rifle-association-nra-logo-hitch-cover-sits-on-display-ahead-of-the-nra-annual-meeting-in-dallas-texas-u-s-on-thursday-may-3-2018-when-the-nra-holds-its-annual-meeting-this-weekend-the-gathering-will-provide-a-window-into-the-organization-s-message-and-strategy-ahead-of-this-year-s-midterm-elections-photographer-daniel-acker-bloomberg.png


(Bloomberg) -- The National Rifle Association’s revenue is continuing to slide as record legal bills consume a growing share of its budget.

The gun-rights group generated $139.7 million in the first eight months of the year, an internal NRA document reviewed by Bloomberg shows. During the same time period, the NRA’s office of the general counsel spent more than $40 million, the documents showed. The organization’s annual revenue is on track to be the lowest in more than a decade as legal costs for 2022 approach $60 million, set to exceed previous records.

One of the reasons for the decline was lagging memberships, which make up the largest source of income and fell far short of what the organization expected, the document shows. The NRA’s revenue has been declining from its 2016 peak of $367 million and the legal expenses have increased since reports of abusive spending surfaced in 2019.

The fresh look at the organization’s finances comes as it defends itself against a New York probe of its financial practices. New York Attorney General Letitia James has sued the nonprofit and its leaders for alleged mismanagement and self-dealing, which the NRA denies.


And of course conservative darling Candace Owens is a grifter trump supporters NEVER mention...

https://www.yahoo.com/news/blexit-finances-slumping-paycheck-candace-011539035.html
Blexit’s Finances Are Slumping—but Its Paycheck to Candace Owens Keeps Coming
Kelly Weill
October 28, 2022·6 min read

7c7a1855c837e6b280bc5bfacced3e6b


Donations to conservative commentator Candace Owens’ Blexit Foundation took a precipitous drop in 2021. But the organization paid Owens more than ever: $250,000 in salary, alone. That’s not including the chartered flights.

Reached for comment, Owens repeatedly declined to answer specific questions about how much the Blexit Foundation had dispensed, or to whom.
 
RayGravesGhost said:
Pima county didn't help Lake last night...she got like 40% of that batch
So throw that into your model

Here's the situation so far, starting with the most recent information:

https://www.azcentral.com/story/new...ot-called-arizona-governors-race/10694946002/

Sunday, Nov. 13​

Maricopa: Maricopa County's Sunday night batch of about 97,000 votes broke for Lake by nearly 10 percentage points. That left about 94,000 votes left to tally in Maricopa.

Pima: On Sunday, Pima County released nearly 12,000 votes, which favored Hobbs over Lake by a 3-to-2 margin.



And for those who keep asking the most basic question over & over...
Eliminating mail-in voting is as about as radical extremist as it gets

Changing the dominant way how states like AZ vote because you believe but cannot prove fraud exists is coming from the same people who believe in state's rights when it comes to elections :rolleyes:

https://www.azcentral.com/story/new...ot-called-arizona-governors-race/10694946002/

Vote counting in Arizona has been ongoing since Tuesday's midterm elections, with officials in the state's 15 counties releasing tallies of votes as they have been processed.

As of Sunday, the margin in the governor's race sat at just over 26,000 votes, with Lake about a point behind. There are still about 171,000 votes left to count in Arizona; Lake needs about 57% of those to overtake Hobbs.

Almost all of Arizona's vote happens by mail, although some voters cast their ballots in-person at voting centers. Most Arizona counties don't count ballots in-house, with officials instead bringing them to a central facility.

Early votes in Arizona can be counted as they come in, meaning that officials don't have to wait until polls close on Election Day to start.

Arizona officials release their vote totals in batches. Much of the focus has been on Maricopa, the state's largest county, with a total of 4.5 million residents — more than half of Arizona's total population — and about 2.4 million registered voters.

But other big releases have been coming from Arizona's next two most populated counties: Pima (home to Tucson) and Pinal, a large, suburban area just south of metro Phoenix.
Click to expand...


Yep Pima and Apache could change the numbers a lot depending on what is being tabulated compared to this point in 2020 and possibly have Hobbs winning by 10,000+. My guess is based on 2020 Pima where from this point on it rolled over very slightly to Trump right at the end which if the same this time would have Pima about 50/50 with the remaining stuff. Apache I am assuming if its like 2020 that will net Hobbs about 2,000 more votes.

My assumption looking at some data is that this final Maricopa stuff when finished will fall roughly in the area of 58.5% to 61% for Lake but Lake probably needs 62%+ Maricopa to realistically have any chance to pull off a crazy win here.
 
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RayGravesGhost said:
BLM is a "political action"?
BLM is criminally accused of stealing money to build mansions?

The more you post the more your ignorance becomes apparent
Click to expand...
Black Lives Matter co-founder Patrisse Cullors used charity funds to pay her brother and child’s father eye-watering sums of cash for various services, according to tax documents filed with the IRS.

The co-founder’s brother, Paul Cullors, saw a cool sum of $840,000 hit his bank account for allegedly providing security services to the nonprofit organization, tax documents seen by The Post show.

Meanwhile, the organization paid a company owned by Damon Turner, with whom Cullors shares a child, almost $970,000 to help “produce live events” as well as other “creative services.”

After back-to-back controversies, Cullors last year resigned as executive director of the organization amid criticism over her lavish lifestyle.

The tax filing’s release closely follows the controversy over the purchase of a $6 million property in Los Angeles.

😂
 
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NavigatorII said:
Black Lives Matter co-founder Patrisse Cullors used charity funds to pay her brother and child’s father eye-watering sums of cash for various services, according to tax documents filed with the IRS.

The co-founder’s brother, Paul Cullors, saw a cool sum of $840,000 hit his bank account for allegedly providing security services to the nonprofit organization, tax documents seen by The Post show.

Meanwhile, the organization paid a company owned by Damon Turner, with whom Cullors shares a child, almost $970,000 to help “produce live events” as well as other “creative services.”

After back-to-back controversies, Cullors last year resigned as executive director of the organization amid criticism over her lavish lifestyle.

The tax filing’s release closely follows the controversy over the purchase of a $6 million property in Los Angeles.

😂
Click to expand...
BLM has been extremely quiet lately.
 
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gatordad3 said:
BLM has been extremely quiet lately.
Click to expand...

In my experience they have been mostly called out by black people in my community.

I have one example that truly stands out for me that was actually quite powerful and moving. It restored my faith in my fellow man and our community.

It's a long story and if I tell it, I'll need to be careful about the details I share.
 
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fatman76 said:
www.newsweek.com

Lauren Boebert in danger as rejected mail-in ballot checks could help rival

There could be thousands of ballots in Colorado which have been rejected for signature verification but could still be "cured", changing the result of the race.
www.newsweek.com www.newsweek.com
Click to expand...

newsweek another leftist RAG

The entire article is pro RAT calling her a election denier.

Hes begging for votes to trying to find ( steal votes) but she will win. Many of these are overseas military vites and they don't vote rat

www.9news.com

US House race between Lauren Boebert, Adam Frisch likely going to a recount

The Colorado election between Republican U.S. Rep. Lauren Boebert and Democrat Adam Frisch was too close to call with 99% of ballots counted.
www.9news.com www.9news.com

www.wsj.com

Lauren Boebert's Lead Over Democrat Adam Frisch Widens in Colorado House Race

First-term Republican Rep. Lauren Boebert’s lead over Democratic challenger Adam Frisch has widened in her surprisingly tight Colorado House race. With about 99% of the vote counted as of Friday evening, Ms. Boebert had 50.2% of the vote to 49.8% for Mr. Frisch, and her lead had grown to more than
www.wsj.com www.wsj.com
 
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NavigatorII said:
Black Lives Matter co-founder Patrisse Cullors used charity funds to pay her brother and child’s father eye-watering sums of cash for various services, according to tax documents filed with the IRS.

The co-founder’s brother, Paul Cullors, saw a cool sum of $840,000 hit his bank account for allegedly providing security services to the nonprofit organization, tax documents seen by The Post show.

Meanwhile, the organization paid a company owned by Damon Turner, with whom Cullors shares a child, almost $970,000 to help “produce live events” as well as other “creative services.”

After back-to-back controversies, Cullors last year resigned as executive director of the organization amid criticism over her lavish lifestyle.

The tax filing’s release closely follows the controversy over the purchase of a $6 million property in Los Angeles.

😂
Click to expand...


So you agree...

  • BLM isn't a PAC
  • A former executive is being sued by BLM for malfeasance...not a criminal case
  • The assets of BLM are intact and owned by the organization & the organization is the one cleaning up the mess


Compared to the NRA, Blexit, Build The Wall, & trump defense fund frauds

Law enforcement is cleaning up the mess in two cases, the State of NY in one case, and nothing is being done in case of Owens stealing money
 
RayGravesGhost said:
So you agree...

  • BLM isn't a PAC
  • A former executive is being sued by BLM for malfeasance...not a criminal case
  • The assets of BLM are intact and owned by the organization & the organization is the one cleaning up the mess


Compared to the NRA, Blexit, Build The Wall, & trump defense fund frauds

Law enforcement is cleaning up the mess in two cases, the State of NY in one case, and nothing is being done in case of Owens stealing money
Click to expand...
So you agree the entire premise of BLM is a personal family ponzi scheme by the founders? Good to know. Bernie Madoff would be proud. 😂
 
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Critical thinker has a question: How does Republican Kimberley Yee lead by 260k votes in the AZ State Treasurer race while Republican Kari Lake trials by 24k in the governor's race?

Doesn't that seem odd to see such a huge break in party voting?

Our sheep and RINO friends will attempt to answer. They will say that pubs didn't vote for Kari cause she was an 'election denier' and she is America First, and supports Trump.

But Critical Thinker has a followup question: If that's true, how do you explain the same thing happening in 2018 in AZ, with different candidates?

In 2018, Republican Doug Ducey won the governors race by 336k votes, while Republican Senate candidate Martha McSally lost her race by 55k votes.

Reconcile.
 
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GhostOfMatchesMalone said:
Critical thinker has a question: How does Republican Kimberley Yee lead by 260k votes in the AZ State Treasurer race while Republican Kari Lake trials by 24k in the governor's race?

Doesn't that seem odd to see such a huge break in party voting?

Our sheep and RINO friends will attempt to answer. They will say that pubs didn't vote for Kari cause she was an 'election denier' and she is America First, and supports Trump.

But Critical Thinker has a followup question: If that's true, how do you explain the same thing happening in 2018 in AZ, with different candidates?

In 2018, Republican Doug Ducey won the governors race by 336k votes, while Republican Senate candidate Martha McSally lost her race by 55k votes.

Reconcile.
Click to expand...
Quid Pro Quo. Reconciled!
 
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Gator Fever said:
Lake probably needs 62% of Maricopa tonight to have any chance with what the lefty counties have left.
Click to expand...
I'm not an "I told you so guy", so I'll keep to myself on this one.

They are never going to let an America First candidate with as much fire as Lake ever win an election.

Precincts that exit polled 17% or less Dem were coming on over 50%. The fix is in.
 
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Twitter experts saying Kari needs roughly 65% of the Maricopa drop tonight.

Doubt she gets it. Race will be called immediately by everyone if she doesn't.
 
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fatman76 said:
It’s a Xmas Dem miracle….


2022 Midterm Elections
Republican Total Votes50,113,354
Democrat Total Votes44,251,768
5,861,586
Republican Seats won+9
2010 Midterm Elections
Republican Total Votes44,593,666
Democrat Total Votes42,191.29
2,402,375
Republican Seats won+63
Click to expand...


Frank Luntz tells me it was RAT redistricting in many of these states that cost many wins in the house. Mark levin on January 4 radio show warned the cowardly republicans they must stop this.Told the back benchers spread the word. They didn’t

now you have a close house even with a-massive republican vote win
 
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nail1988 said:
Frank Luntz tells me it was RAT redistricting in many of these states that cost many wins in the house. Mark levin on January 4 radio show warned the cowardly republicans they must stop this.Told the back benchers spread the word. They didn’t

now you have a close house even with a-massive republican vote win
Click to expand...
So once again, dems are really doing what they claim pubs are doing. LOL at @RayGravesGhost
 
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