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Official MIDTERMS thread. All polling/key races info goes here please

Well its a 1.0 % race now after a really large drop. I wish the number was just a little higher but if they are truly still purposely releasing the worst stuff remaining for Lake in that order she has a chance still. I feel pretty confident she will at least be within 0.3% at the end like Trump was.
 
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Well its a 1.0 % race now after a really large drop. I wish the number was just a little higher but if they are truly still purposely releasing the worst stuff remaining for Lake in that order she has a chance still. I feel pretty confident she will at least be within 0.3% at the end like Trump was.
Where are you getting your info? I can't even google anything that resembles real time.
 
Where are you getting your info? I can't even google anything that resembles real time.

I actually traced down some old articles on Pima how the drops went late and just compare the counties from 2020 and look at stuff like what was posted above about what areas remain.
 
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I actually traced down some old articles on Pima how the drops went late and just compare the counties from 2020 and look at stuff like what was posted above about what areas remain.
What the heck did you do with Instigator? He hasn't posted a single thing in 3 weeks. Hope he's not sick, or worse.:confused:
 
Lol. “Authorities” in California say it might be WEEKS until they finish counting the votes for the remaining house votes. I would say unbelievable, but honestly at this point if you don’t understand what Nance meant by there was a “surprise” coming, then you need more help than I can offer.

 
Lol. “Authorities” in California say it might be WEEKS until they finish counting the votes for the remaining house votes. I would say unbelievable, but honestly at this point if you don’t understand what Nance meant by their was a “surprise” coming, then you need more help than I can offer.

Dems cheating in an election isn't surprising.
 
So we got the 55% drop for Kari. I haven't seen anyone calling the race, which is what I assumed would happen next.

Hobbs just issued a statement:



Effectively begging for media to start calling the race.

Does this suggest she's cheating, or she's lying about the source of the ballot drops?
 
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Lol. “Authorities” in California say it might be WEEKS until they finish counting the votes for the remaining house votes. I would say unbelievable, but honestly at this point if you don’t understand what Nance meant by there was a “surprise” coming, then you need more help than I can offer.

My latest count is GOP 218 or 219. But, those efftards in CA haven't counted half the votes in some districts. WTF? How GD incompetent can a state be? :mad:
 
My latest count is GOP 218 or 219. But, those efftards in CA haven't counted half the votes in some districts. WTF? How GD incompetent can a state be? :mad:

this race should be called but AP and RATS looking for votes


 
this race should be called but AP and RATS looking for votes


Wow, they still haven't called that????
 
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Gregg Phillips of True the Vote and 2000 Mules fame posted on Truth Social that there are roughly 194,000 votes left and Kari needs 56% of them to win. If accurate, that sounds quite possible.
 
BTW, Abe Hamadeh continues to outperform Kari, and is only trailing by 11k votes now. His race is actually getting pretty close to a call, especially if the remaining ballots are expected to favor Republicans.
 
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Apache is about the only place I think Dems will gain a number of votes as I think when Pima rolls over eventually it will result in about a 50/50 split of those remaining votes.
 
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Lake and the MAGA wing of the republican party spend 2 years calling the majority of the party RINOs and sheep and then when they don't vote for them they wonder why? 🤣



https://www.yahoo.com/news/sunday-break-kari-lake-picture-180116469.html
It's not looking good for Kari Lake. I picture John McCain laughing his head off
Laurie Roberts, Arizona Republic
Sun, November 13, 2022 at 11:06 PM


The window hasn't slammed shut on Kari Lake, but it's darned close.

It's pray-for-a-miracle time for the candidate who slashed and burned her way through the 17-month campaign en route to this moment.

Because barring that, this race is over.

Lake didn’t need – or apparently want – moderate Republican voters or independents as she marched ever onward, onward, onward with her America First "movement".

And she isn’t getting them.


Lake fared better in the Sunday evening vote drop, as more heavily Republican areas reported in. But with just 170,000 of the 2.5 million ballots left to count, the window is sliding south for the pride of the ultra-MAGA movement.

Before Sunday's drop, Lake needed 56.5% of the remaining vote to catch up to Katie Hobbs, according to Paul Bentz, pollster for HighGround.

On Sunday evening, she got 54.6%

Now she needs 57.6% of the remaining 170,000 votes to catch Hobbs.

On Tuesday, as she has throughout the race, Lake predicted she’d win in a landslide. In the days to follow, as she trailed in the vote, she made the rounds of conservative media to sow doubt about the results, even as she continued to assure her voters that her victory is "inevitable."
 
Gregg Phillips of True the Vote and 2000 Mules fame posted on Truth Social that there are roughly 194,000 votes left and Kari needs 56% of them to win. If accurate, that sounds quite possible.


Find better "sources"...

https://www.yahoo.com/news/true-vote-leaders-jailed-being-175646366.html
True the Vote leaders jailed after being found in contempt
October 31, 2022·2 min read

(Reuters) - Two leaders of a Texas nonprofit with a history of spreading false claims about voter fraud were jailed on Monday for not complying with a judge's order to identify a person behind data at the heart of their claims of a conspiracy involving China.

U.S. District Judge Kenneth Hoyt ordered Gregg Phillips and Catherine Englebrecht, leaders of True the Vote, detained by U.S. Marshals "for one-day and further until they fully comply with the Court's Order," according to a notice from the federal court in Houston.
 
Find better "sources"...

https://www.yahoo.com/news/true-vote-leaders-jailed-being-175646366.html
True the Vote leaders jailed after being found in contempt
October 31, 2022·2 min read

(Reuters) - Two leaders of a Texas nonprofit with a history of spreading false claims about voter fraud were jailed on Monday for not complying with a judge's order to identify a person behind data at the heart of their claims of a conspiracy involving China.

U.S. District Judge Kenneth Hoyt ordered Gregg Phillips and Catherine Englebrecht, leaders of True the Vote, detained by U.S. Marshals "for one-day and further until they fully comply with the Court's Order," according to a notice from the federal court in Houston.

"for not complying with a judge's order to identify a person behind data"

Sounds like they can keep their word unlike many other people.
 
Crunching the numbers on this and making some assumptions that some non-Maricopa stuff will mirror 2020 mostly I keep coming up with Lake losing by a very thin 2,000 votes in the best case scenario and a range of about a 2,000 vote loss to about a 7,500 vote loss. Numbers could be different if the non-Maricopa stuff breaks a lot differently than 2020. It looks like the final Maricopa votes would have to give a really good number not many people are expecting to pull off a shocking close win.
 
"for not complying with a judge's order to identify a person behind data"

Sounds like they can keep their word unlike many other people.

You must "idolize" people who also don't snitch on drug dealers huh?

donald trump has warped a lot of people into believing that resisting legal investigations into criminal activity is an honorable thing

Wonder if they think drug dealers & thieves are "honorable" too :rolleyes:
 
You must "idolize" people who also don't snitch on drug dealers huh?

donald trump has warped a lot of people into believing that resisting legal investigations into criminal activity is an honorable thing

Wonder if they think drug dealers & thieves are "honorable" too :rolleyes:
RGG celebrates political investigations as long as they are "the right people". It's time for some BLM grifters to go to jail. Agree? 😂
 
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