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Official MIDTERMS thread. All polling/key races info goes here please

I finally found some old articles with the info I needed about 2020 AZ and how it played out after election day. I set things up to crunch the overall and county numbers compared to what went down in 2020. At this point it's still pointing to a 1% race but I think tonight's Maricopa drop will give enough info to make an informed guess on what Masters chances really are

As far as NV I couldn't get the info to make an informed guess. I just found that Biden gained on Trump after election day by just under 2% which is about the same as the Democrat gained on Laxalt so far.
 
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A little over half a million ballots left to count in AZ. Roughly a third of those are early votes.
Early could still be ballots like @FresnoGator 's who dropped in person prior to election day.

Provisionals are likely in-person, we know how those break.

The big number on "ballots ready for tabulation" is scary because it doesn't say what type of ballot they are. The fact that 317k of 381k are in Maricopa is even scarier.

What a total cluster eff.
 
Early could still be ballots like @FresnoGator 's who dropped in person prior to election day.

Provisionals are likely in-person, we know how those break.

The big number on "ballots ready for tabulation" is scary because it doesn't say what type of ballot they are. The fact that 317k of 381k are in Maricopa is even scarier.

What a total cluster eff.
There is only one reason for this slow walking bs, to cleverly coverup the "steal"
 
I finally found some old articles with the info I needed about 2020 AZ and how it played out after election day. I set things up to crunch the overall and county numbers compared to what went down in 2020. At this point it's still pointing to a 1% race but I think tonight's Maricopa drop will give enough info to make an informed guess on what Masters chances really are

As far as NV I couldn't get the info to make an informed guess. I just found that Biden gained on Trump after election day by just under 2% which is about the same as the Democrat gained on Laxalt so far.
Looking at where the most votes are left to count, I would be shocked if Laxalt wins.

Hope I am wrong
 
Looking at where the most votes are left to count, I would be shocked if Laxalt wins.

Hope I am wrong

Not sure who to believe as some people think the rest of Clark is near 50/50 due to what the ballots are. Others are really nervous about it. Reps better be curing ballots like the Dems are in these states.
 
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We're now told the House is at risk as the "Counting" continues.

 
We're now told the House is at risk as the "Counting" continues.

I've got the GOP as at least 220. There are a pile of close races being slow walked in mostly CA, OR, NV, one in Maryland where the GOP has slim leads. The CA races haven't budged one bit from counts from yesterday. Some show only 44% done. WTF??? :mad:
 
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I've got the GOP as at least 220. There are a pile of close races being slow walked in mostly CA, OR, NV, one in Maryland where the GOP has slim leads. The CA races haven't budged one bit from counts from yesterday. Some show only 44% done. WTF??? :mad:

Yep I would be surprised if it isn't 220+ once the votes out in CA are done being counted weeks from now. A few races look to be auto recounts also.
 
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Yep I would be surprised if it isn't 220+ once the votes out in CA are done being counted weeks from now. A few races look to be auto recounts also.
Welcome to "Election Season". It's an exciting time of year, filled with all sorts of twists and turns - news breaks, ballot drops, cameras going off, etc... Way more fun than crappy old "Election Day".

But like the Bruce Willis action movies you watched when we were kids, you know the outcome...
 
Rubio drops bomb as the growing call to remove the POS RINO McConnell

Long knives are out for cocaine Mitch

BREAKING: Marco Rubio might have just dropped a BOMB on Senate GOP leadership​

Sen. Josh Hawley (R-MO) says, “Washington Republicanism lost big Tuesday night” in the midterm elections because the party’s agenda, set forth by leadership, consistently caved to Democrats.

Following Tuesday night’s midterm elections, where Republicans are looking to squeak out small majorities in the House and Senate, Hawley blasted the Republican establishment for their caving to Democrats as well as corporate special interests.



 
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If the remaining ballot numbers in AZ given by muppet guy just now are correct and its 518K then Masters would have to win 62% of the remaining ballots to pull a win out. The biggest problem is 114k of the 518K are Pima ballots who have a few more batches that might not even be quite 50/50 for Masters before he gets some positive ones near the end there. That probably means he will have to average about 2/3 of the remaining 353K Maricopa ballots to have any chance. A tall task indeed.
 
If the remaining ballot numbers in AZ given by muppet guy just now are correct and its 518K then Masters would have to win 62% of the remaining ballots to pull a win out. The biggest problem is 114k of the 518K are Pima ballots who have a few more batches that might not even be quite 50/50 for Masters before he gets some positive ones near the end there. That probably means he will have to average about 2/3 of the remaining 353K Maricopa ballots to have any chance. A tall task indeed.
😍👍😍

 
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This is good news albeit I think we end up with more. Plus the freedom caucus will get rid of the used car salesmen McCarthy or get what they want/ and we remove Nasty Nann

 
This is good news albeit I think we end up with more. Plus the freedom caucus will get rid of the used car salesmen McCarthy or get what they want/ and we remove Nasty Nann

Steve Scalise has already said he will run for Speaker. I think he would be solid. Maybe not the best choice, but not bad either.
 
Thats how I took it. 350 who voted GOP primaries votes haven’t been counted and that’s huge
If that's the case then I think it's pretty obvious Hobbs is intentionally holding them back. And it supports my theory that she is planning on dumping them all at once.

"OMG! Hobbs went from 25k ahead to losing by 325k???? 350k votes dropped and almost ALL WENT FOR LAKE??? That's cheating!!!!!"

Wait and see.
 
If the remaining ballot numbers in AZ given by muppet guy just now are correct and its 518K then Masters would have to win 62% of the remaining ballots to pull a win out. The biggest problem is 114k of the 518K are Pima ballots who have a few more batches that might not even be quite 50/50 for Masters before he gets some positive ones near the end there. That probably means he will have to average about 2/3 of the remaining 353K Maricopa ballots to have any chance. A tall task indeed.
I wrote Masters off a couple of days ago. First, it's cheatin AZ, and second, too much ground to cover. :(
 
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If that's the case then I think it's pretty obvious Hobbs is intentionally holding them back. And it supports my theory that she is planning on dumping them all at once.

"OMG! Hobbs went from 25k ahead to losing by 325k???? 350k votes dropped and almost ALL WENT FOR LAKE??? That's cheating!!!!!"

Wait and see.
LOL! Ghost you crack me up. It's not that what you say isn't true, but damn. Gonna have to change your screen name to Sadghost. (there's a history behind this you might not know about) ;)
 
I wrote Masters off a couple of days ago. First, it's cheatin AZ, and second, too much ground to cover. :(
If there are 350k R primary voter ballots out there he will be ok I think. Even if those people didn't pick Lake, they turned out to vote against the Dems.

I'm just not going to get excited because, well, Hobbs is in charge of the election. Wolf is watching the sheep.
 
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If there are 350k R primary voter ballots out there he will be ok I think. Even if those people didn't pick Lake, they turned out to vote against the Dems.

I'm just not going to get excited because, well, Hobbs is in charge of the election. Wolf is watching the sheep.
If there had to be a sacrificial lamb, best that it is a senate seat rather than Lake so she can clean that shithole state government and den of vipers out of AZ. :(
 
With OR 5 flipping I think there is an outside chance to gain 10 House seats if the remaining CA incumbents can hold their seats
 
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If there had to be a sacrificial lamb, best that it is a senate seat rather than Lake so she can clean that shithole state government and den of vipers out of AZ. :(
I want it all. I don't trust the NV or GA Senate races at all...probably less than I trust AZ.

I think the audit had an effect in AZ, and I have heard multiple times from the Lake camp that they've got big legal teams in these counting rooms. People who know their rights, know the law and can't be bullied out.

If true election integrity can be a grassroots effort.
 
I want it all. I don't trust the NV or GA Senate races at all...probably less than I trust AZ.

I think the audit had an effect in AZ, and I have heard multiple times from the Lake camp that they've got big legal teams in these counting rooms. People who know their rights, know the law and can't be bullied out.

If true election integrity can be a grassroots effort.
Like Ghost and @jfegaly, I'm less than confident we are out of the woods with blatant voter fraud. :(
 
I want it all. I don't trust the NV or GA Senate races at all...probably less than I trust AZ.

I think the audit had an effect in AZ, and I have heard multiple times from the Lake camp that they've got big legal teams in these counting rooms. People who know their rights, know the law and can't be bullied out.

If true election integrity can be a grassroots effort.

I hope Laxalt can hold off that cheating mess in Vegas. It will be close. I would still give him a lot better odds at this point than Masters though.
 
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