Election Game Day Thread
- Thread starter gator1776
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Agree. Netting ~670,000 would be awfully tough...though I'm sure the people at RCP and Quinnipiac would poll exactly that, lol.
Five states have punted this and blaming COVID that has been ongoing since early winter/spring... this is insane and no excuses. Not calling Georgia and North Carolina is to help distract what they’re going to do in Pennsylvania.
can we at least agree that after tonight you should be the last one making predictions?
Anyone find it odd that the only states with vote counting problems happen to all be states leaning trump? 4 of 5 have dim governors. And the one state with a pub governor happens to be in yet another swing state, and the count is slowed by heavy dim counties. Either dims suck at math/counting or something fishy is up.
It is not coincidence. Every time a state is close it is always blue counties/precincts with a slow count
Seeing him speak and looking so awful should scare the daylights out of every dang fool who voted for the man because they hate Trump.
This is what they want in office? They should be ashamed.
And frightened.
So I guess the Dem’s plan is to ballot harvest until they win?
I'm exhausted. Trump will win Pennsylvania. He's leading in NC and Georgia and Michigan. This game should be over, but the D's are going to find a way to sneak these ballots in favor of Biden. It's gotta stop. This is madness. Pennsylvania poll workers will be able to count mail-in ballots that arrive in the next three days — even if there is not a clear postmark and even if the signature on the ballot does not match voter rolls. There ya go folks. Cheat-by-mail.
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Yep. Didn’t Faux news call AZ with a 200k vote lead for Biden and only ~70% in?
PA is about twice the size, so the 700k lead should be about it if turnout is similar in both states.
I think I heard (in my drunken stupor) that the PA SC accepted an emergency hearing this am to the R lawyers to throw out the late arriving votes.
Having ACB may prove pivotal.
I don’t see how Trump wins Michigan or Wisconsin at this point. They’re counting votes mostly in Democratic counties were somehow they just couldn’t quite get it all counted last night when it mattered.
I don't see the US Supreme court issuing in this matter. They'll defer to the states. But someone tell me if this is so: if there was a blatant wrongdoing by the state's supreme court, can the US Supreme court overturn it?
Even Michigan? And isn't it ironic that Trump was leading in all these states - well, except Wisconsin - I think. My mind is a blur. But I gotta say we are in trouble in America if Biden wins.
Yeah Trump had a lead in Wisconsin when I went to bed by five percentage points and it disappeared. Trump was up an awful lot in Michigan when I went to bed and now he’s only up by 35,000 votes. Not looking good. Certainly not @GhostOfMatchesMalone Red wave massive landslide blow out BS he was talking about, but he’s always been FOS. I don’t know, We’ll see but I think they’re going to swing the states towards biting at the end. Arizona was a blow last night because it gave the Dems the opening they needed.
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I was worried sick at first. Ohio is a state that counts early voting fist.
So what you thinking man. I’m thinking Biden wins when where the other. All these democratic states not counting the votes and taking days off, it’s embarrassing, but seems pretty clear what’s going to happen. I don’t know how you stop that even through the courts.
Yeah but how do you prove they’re not real votes? What if they are real votes. What if Biden actually won. It’s possible, coronavirus absolutely swung momentum invite is way over the last six months. Which is crazy because Trump actually did a good job with it and why didn’t you would not have, but remember that combined IQ is 98.
I think you’re gonna have to prepare for the worse there too. I’m just kind of excepting what’s happening at this point. Incredibly close but I think Biden wins
Part of the problem is that Louis DeJoy intentionally slowed down USPS operations, hoping that they could rely on the courts to stop the counting before some of the absentee ballots were delivered (even though they were mailed on time).
This needlessly dragged out the drama in states where absentee ballots are counted last because there was an initial lean towards Trump, followed by a slow, agonizing, trickle of Biden votes.
Understandably, some right wingers will feel like the dems “cheated.” But what really happened was DeJoy’s attempt to kneecap the system in Trump’s favor failed.
DeJoy needs to go to DeJail.
This needlessly dragged out the drama in states where absentee ballots are counted last because there was an initial lean towards Trump, followed by a slow, agonizing, trickle of Biden votes.
Understandably, some right wingers will feel like the dems “cheated.” But what really happened was DeJoy’s attempt to kneecap the system in Trump’s favor failed.
DeJoy needs to go to DeJail.
Still amazing to me that all these democrat run states basically just pause in their vote counting. It’s almost like they’re waiting to see which one of them has to bite the bullet and swing it for Biden I’ll hoping they don’t have to be the one that does it. Nevada just taking the day off blows my mind.
This is 100% false, complete BS.
The Postal Service is fully funded into 2021. No one slowed anything down.
This is a cable news talking point.
Well the real problem is anytime you start changing the way you do an election two months before an election the opportunity for fraud, even the appearance of fraud, is huge. No matter who wins the other side is not gonna consider it legitimate and it’s not gonna do our country any favors. I’m just really happy that no one party has control of everything. And Democrats should be thinking they’re lucky stars for the China virus because the Republicans had a good chance to win everything back if not for the coronavirus.
Jamie Lee Curtis tweeted a picture of mail boxes on a flat bed. It’s true!!!
I don’t think he wins Michigan but he might sneak out Nevada but I’m not sure what that does for the numbers.
Interesting enough they kept counting last night in states that biden was losing and is now winning. They paused counting in states that looked like trump would win. The timing on some of the “called” states was interesting as well. If there was ever any doubt the the public were just media puppets, then this certainly won’t help that image.
So I'm in Marketing, so take ANY math from me with a large grain of salt.
But if the estimate on turnout in PA is correct, it looks like if Biden wins the remaining votes 62/38 then he wins PA.
My math:
Current Votes
2,290,624 Biden
2,965,636 Trump
5,256,260 Total
64% in, meaning total expected votes ~8,200,000 (therefore remaining votes = 2,943,740)
Trump's lead is 675,012
If Biden gets 61% = 1,795,681 additional
If Trump gets 39% = 1,148,058 additional
That would result in a 27,389 Trump win. If my math (and the 64% estimate) are right 61% is the cutoff for Trump to carry PA.
edit: and if we see a much higher number of additional votes than the expected 2.9MM put on your tin foil hats and watch your cornhole
But if the estimate on turnout in PA is correct, it looks like if Biden wins the remaining votes 62/38 then he wins PA.
My math:
Current Votes
2,290,624 Biden
2,965,636 Trump
5,256,260 Total
64% in, meaning total expected votes ~8,200,000 (therefore remaining votes = 2,943,740)
Trump's lead is 675,012
If Biden gets 61% = 1,795,681 additional
If Trump gets 39% = 1,148,058 additional
That would result in a 27,389 Trump win. If my math (and the 64% estimate) are right 61% is the cutoff for Trump to carry PA.
edit: and if we see a much higher number of additional votes than the expected 2.9MM put on your tin foil hats and watch your cornhole
Some of this was due to people in the media knowing which states had already counted absentee ballots and where the remaining uncounted in-person ballots were.
Most of the initial big Trump leads were the result of absentee ballots or blue districts not yet being counted.
False. Florida? Texas? How about Alaska? Georgia, mathematically should already be called as well.
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