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Current Real Clear Politics No Toss Up Map 10/11/24

States that have shifted to Republican over the last two weeks include Pennsylvania, Michigan, and now Nevada. And Wisconsin is close.
However, Georgia and North Carolina remain very close too. As does Arizona.
Still, considering the inherent bias in pulling trying to shift the narrative, I like what I’m seeing.
 

News I like is real.
Also, remember a lot of these poles have a clear blue bias so for it to look like this right now, I’m starting to like our chances of not having to live through a Harris presidency
In the last two elections Trump has outperformed polling by 9% and 5% respectively.

Most polls oversample dems, compounding the "shy Trump voter" problem.

And I believe in the shy Trump voter theory because there's no way in hell I'd ever tell a stranger I was voting for Trump (either by answering a poll or wearing a red hat, putting a sign in my yard, etc). Leftists are much more violent and vitriolic and I want no part of any confrontation.
 
In the last two elections Trump has outperformed polling by 9% and 5% respectively.

Most polls oversample dems, compounding the "shy Trump voter" problem.

And I believe in the shy Trump voter theory because there's no way in hell I'd ever tell a stranger I was voting for Trump (either by answering a poll or wearing a red hat, putting a sign in my yard, etc). Leftists are much more violent and vitriolic and I want no part of any confrontation.
 
I'm telling you, they're freaking unhinged brainwashed lunatics.

I'd never even consider attacking someone with a Harris shirt on. I'd just feel sorry for them.
I fixed the link but im amused that someone could be that violent and ignorant at the same time, since Triumph is a British motorcycle company that's been around since the 1920's.
 
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In the last two elections Trump has outperformed polling by 9% and 5% respectively.

Most polls oversample dems, compounding the "shy Trump voter" problem.

And I believe in the shy Trump voter theory because there's no way in hell I'd ever tell a stranger I was voting for Trump (either by answering a poll or wearing a red hat, putting a sign in my yard, etc). Leftists are much more violent and vitriolic and I want no part of any confrontation.
I want to throw out here a "cautionary tale", in the 2022 midterm elections the predicted "red wave" didn't happen perhaps because people became over confident and didn't bother to vote. I am concerned that this is a big part of the current Democrat strategy.
 
I want to throw out here a "cautionary tale", in the 2022 midterm elections the predicted "red wave" didn't happen perhaps because people became over confident and didn't bother to vote. I am concerned that this is a big part of the current Democrat strategy.
Here is something else about voting that concerns me. I heard someone say recently that conservative Christians and gun owners traditionally have the poorest voting turnout of all the voting segments. This troubles me. One of our smooth talkers like Vivek Ramaswamy needs to light a fire under their butt and get them to go vote.
 
I want to throw out here a "cautionary tale", in the 2022 midterm elections the predicted "red wave" didn't happen perhaps because people became over confident and didn't bother to vote. I am concerned that this is a big part of the current Democrat strategy.
And who wasn't on the ticket in 2022?

He drives turnout and engagement.

I'm not saying there will be a red wave because I don't think our elections have been fixed. But when he's on the ballot Republican turnout increases.
 
Here is something else about voting that concerns me. I heard someone say recently that conservative Christians and gun owners traditionally have the poorest voting turnout of all the voting segments. This troubles me. One of our smooth talkers like Vivek Ramaswamy needs to light a fire under their butt and get them to go vote.
Seriously? I'd like to see data on that.
 
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Here is something else about voting that concerns me. I heard someone say recently that conservative Christians and gun owners traditionally have the poorest voting turnout of all the voting segments. This troubles me. One of our smooth talkers like Vivek Ramaswamy needs to light a fire under their butt and get them to go vote.
Seriously? I'd like to see data on that.
I don’t believe it either. Please show us the data that Christians and gun owners have the lowest voter turnout rate.
 
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