The black vote is leaning further red since 1966 according to polling. Republicans don't need to get a plurality of the black vote, they just have to swing 20% or so over and there's no path for the democrats.But the white vote is going to be significantly split. They black vote will be heavily democrat.
And how do they even know the race of the voter?
And here's the company he's citing. There must be a checkbox for race when registering in the states they are tracking. But states are providing them info.
TargetSmart's Early Vote Dashboard
Early and absentee voting data is more important than ever. TargetSmart has created a site to paint a picture of the votes cast thus far. Check back often for updates.
targetearly.targetsmart.com