Republican Mehmet Oz is projected to win his Pennsylvania U.S. Senate race against Democrat Lt. Gov. John Fetterman, according to Real Clear Politics.
Oz, who has been endorsed by former President Donald Trump, will win Pennsylvania by 1.9% of the vote, Real Clear Politics (RCP) showed Thursday.
RCP is based on opinion polling adjusted to take account of past inaccuracies.
The recent RCP-produced average of recent polls puts Fetterman ahead by 3.2 percentage points. However, the RCP polling averages for past elections have understated Republican support by a mean of 5.2 points.
Therefore, adjusted for past undercounting of Republican support, RCP forecasts an Oz victory in the key battleground state.