A good (finally) poll for Trump
- Thread starter grandhavendiddy
- Start date
I just remember that particular conduit and I don’t recall them as being correct on what they chose to treat about. Hoping for the best.
It's a great question. There are a lot of partisan sources that produce very nice looking charts.
It’s like any other platform. You have to go to the source and make your own call.
The tweets cited Politico and an election betting site.
You’re like a child wandering adrift in the forest.
THIS is how I see things. Look at Michigan. As you all know...I was saying this back months ago( I know you guys thought I was nuts) If you remember, I predicted a 1980 type victory for Trump. The reason...things in America were bad just like now!
Election wizard follows elections on X he was just forwarding another betting site called Kalshi
Here’s polymarket
Bonuses if this model is any good, and not sure how it accounts for fraud, but he’s saying the popular vote leans Trump.
That’s crazy.
They just released polls for Minnesota and Virginia that are now both within the margin of error.
The map has expanded.
https://www.minnpost.com/elections/...tight-race-in-minnesota-as-finish-line-nears/
https://www.rasmussenreports.com/pu...arris_48_trump_46_in_virginia_cruz_4_in_texas
The map has expanded.
https://www.minnpost.com/elections/...tight-race-in-minnesota-as-finish-line-nears/
https://www.rasmussenreports.com/pu...arris_48_trump_46_in_virginia_cruz_4_in_texas
I have been around(I am old) politically for a LONG time. But cheating was not as prevalent as now or even close to it. Trump will win...and win BIGLY. I do not really care about the popular vote, other than to give him a huge mandate. Even that dim wits will make things impossible for him because they hate America
Kal and Jimbus may need some Valium and a wellness check
Economist is a left of center polling firm
Man, I'm just a nervous guy over this election, lol. Too much love for America.
I also hope that the normal under polling for Republicans and Trump in particular holds true in which case he should be up 4 to 7 points and a lot of these states
This is the unknown. If he under polls again like he always has, this will be a huge landslide, and thats what it should be. There cannot be that many idiots in America
Multiple people suddenly coming out with big leaves for Harrison and some of the swing states. Are they trying to slant the election of the last moment or are things starting to swing the wrong way?
Of note, one of the polls was CNN
Lol
Of note, one of the polls was CNN
Lol
Some Pollsters tried to correct polls from 4 years ago by increasing poll share of republicans to account for Trumps late “surge”, which pollsters are thinking can be adjusted with a little sample bias. Any of the polling groups who have Harris’s interest in mind, may adjust the bias back to the same sampling as last time in hopes that adjustment might give hope to Dems to spur late turnout
CNN however is just effing garbage
CNN however is just effing garbage
Most in the know predict a minor landslide electorally......OVER 300
My political pants are flying around the room
I’d be really proud of my state if we somehow pulled this off, I just worry the early vote is a trade off this year
But holy crap every commercial break is a Kamala ad. She’s hammering us.
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What state
Too many ads sometimes there is a negative effect for the candidate with all the ads
But what has she said in those commercials on how she will make inflation go away, avert WWII, close the border, and lower interest rates? NADA...sorry...she doing something Tuesday she LOVES to do...GO DOWN.
Lets add the only thing those ads do are ATTACK the opponent..no hope in them at all. So they do not answer as to how grocery prices will go down.
Virginia. I live in far NoVA, about an hour outside of Loudoun, 1.5 hours from the swamp.
My bumper sticker/yard sign polling says it's going to be Harris, but all the data is pointing to Trump and she's dumping a TON of money here.
When I say every commercial I'm not exaggerating. 10 to 1 over Trump ads.
Most of the ads are how Trump's tariffs are going to be like a tax increase and she's the candidate for the "common person".
She'll lower costs, cut taxes, blah blah blah.
Anyone who believes these ads is an idiot.
