Are you suggesting that this election is going to be free of fraud and cheating? How often do we hear last time that our election was the most secure in history? Did you believe that to be the case when they said it?
And if you agreed that there will be cheating, how much do you think there will be just a little bit or a lot?
Do you think Kamala Harris is a legitimate candidate?
Can't believe your already going to the "cheating" well again, smdh.
Let me ask you this.....WHY would you think Trump will win? What metric, what evidence, what anything gives you confidence? Its the same thing as last time around.....there is no reason to be confident in a Trump victory. And that is the starting point before any "cheating" theory even makes sense. Over 40% of the population wouldn't vote for Trump if he was running against a potted plant.
You think Harris is an idiot. OK, fine......but sure looks like she is running a fairly smart campaign.
Why should Harris people be confident?:
1) One of Trump's strongest points, the economy, has weakened. If you haven't noticed, Inflation is now pretty much under control and the feds interest rate drop signals they think it is too. The last measure said 2.5% and they Aim for 2%, so we are pretty much there. It was 1.9% under Trump, so not much difference. If your going to blame Biden for inflation getting to 9%, you have to credit him for it dropping to where it is now.
And don't ignore the fact that Trump spouting about how he is going to enact a bunch of new tariff's has caused people like Goldman Sachs to opine that Harris has a better economic plan than Trump. They may be wrong, but the fact that anybody is saying this is a testament to another self inflicted wound by Trump.
2) Even the Border, which, IMO is Trumps strongest point has been, to some extent, effectively countered (BTW, I am with Trump on this issue). The fact that the republicans in congress agreed to the border deal and Trump squashed it has been something Harris has been able to use. The "he would rather run on a problem than fix a problem" is pretty good political messaging. Now if you make the argument that the democrats only agreed to that deal because Biden's numbers where going south like a duck in winter I would agree with you. Nevertheless, it is what it is and Harris has said she still will sign that deal if she becomes president. So what was a huge Trump advantage is still strong, but has been somewhat mitigated.
3) Harris has raised significantly more money than Trump. $189M in August compared to $44M by Trump. That's a big difference. Of course, Elon Musk could equalize it in 5 minutes if he wants, so this is certainly subject to change. But one man doesn't reflect as much as the masses. People giving money is evidence of enthusiasm for the candidate.
4) Polls. Polls are only a rough estimate, they typically are off 3% or so in a presidential election no matter who is running. But they are not irrelevant. The primary thing to take from the current polls, IMO, is that Harris has momentum. Clearly she is doing significantly better than Biden and since she entered the race her numbers have improved. The direction the polls are going, perhaps more than the actual numbers, is something to take note of.
5) Trump media stock tanking. While this is certainly not a normal situation or scientific, the value of Trump's stock is clearly tied, to some extent, to the likelihood of him becoming president again. The stock may go to near zero if he loses. When it first went public it was over $60 a share.....right now its at $12.82. It's not all that uncommon for a new public company to spike early on........but the consistent drop and the amount is noticeable. And some of the recent dip is due to the lock out expiring, but Trump said he wasn't selling.
All that being said, sure looks as of today as if its still a total coin flip. Although I think Harris will again win the popular vote, Trump can certainly still win the electoral college. But I see no reason for Trump people to be confident. Same as last time. It was all fabricated among MAGA people themselves, following Trump's lead. Please show me the reasons why you would be confident?
BTW, Nikki Haley would have won easily. Most the Trump people would have still voted for her and she would get a much bigger chunk of female voters. But the Trump addiction is the sickness that may bring us a Harris presidency. So instead of trying to look for cheating you can't prove......put the blame where it belongs.
