Georgia is ranked #5 in the latest FPI Power Index), #2 in Strength of Record.
Alabama is #2 in FPI, #7 in Strength of record
Ole Miss is #6 in FPI, #12 in SOR
Tennessee is #9 in FPI, #10 in SOR
Texas A&M is #14 in FPI, #11 in SOR
Based ony that, the only way Texas A&M gets in is to beat Texas at home. They play at Auburn this week.
Georgia only has UMASS and Georgia Tech left to play and assuming they win both, they're a shoe-in for the playoffs, IMO
Texas hosts Kentucky and then finishes at Texas A&M. Unless they lose both games, I think they're in the playoff, win both and they're in the SEC title game.
Ole Miss finishes up at Florida and hosting Miss. State. Win both and they're almost a lock for the playoffs. Lose one and they go on the bubble, but still could get in.
Tennessee finishes uphosting UTEP, the at Vanderbilt. Win both and they're almost a lock for the playoffs.
Alabama plays at Oklahoma, then hosts Auburn. Win both and they're almost a lock for the playoffs.
I don't know how the tie breaker works for the SEC title game but it looks like the winner of the Txas/Texas A&M game vs. whichever of the 2-loss teams wins the tiebreaker, which is described as follows:
The SEC will use six potential tie-breakers for the 2024 season in this order until the tie is broken:
Step 1: Head-to-head competition: This is the easiest tie-beaker. Did Team A beat Team B?
Step 2: Record vs. all common conference opponents.
Step 3: Record against highest (best) placed common conference opponent in the conference standings, and proceeding through the conference standings among tied teams.
Step 4: Cumulative conference winning percentages of all conference opponents among tied teams.
Step 5: Capped relative total scoring margin vs. all conference opponents among the tied teams.
Step 6: Random draw.