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Tennessee game / SEC tournament...

Gator Fever

Bull Gator
Feb 13, 2008
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It looks like we will end up anywhere from the 3 seed to the 6 seed in the SEC tournament depending on how these final SEC games play out this weekend. Beat Tennessee and we lock in a double bye but only get a single bye with a loss.

If LSU beats Mizzu on Saturday we will be the 4 seed with a win and the 5 seed with a loss. if Mizzu beats LSU we will be the 3 seed with a win and the 6 seed with a loss.
if we end up the # 4 seed we will get either Tennessee, Ole Miss, SC, A&M or Vandy after a double bye and if we end up the # 6 seed we will get either # 11 SC or Vandy after a bye and they would also get a bye prior to the game due to Auburn not playing this tournament.
 
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Odds to get each seed using the ESPN’s Basketball Power Index projections:

1 - Alabama (100%)

2 - Arkansas (100%)

3 - LSU (85.0%), Florida (15.0%)

4 - Tennessee (68.7%), Florida (16.3%), LSU (15.0%)

5 - Missouri (47.8%), Florida (35.9%), Ole Miss (12.8%), Tennessee (3.5%)

6 - Ole Miss (51.1%), Florida (32.8%), Tennessee (16.0%)

7 - Ole Miss (34.5%), Mississippi State (29.2%), Missouri (26.3%), Tennessee (11.7%)

8 - Kentucky (37.6%), Missouri (25.9%), Mississippi State (33.2%), Ole Miss (1.6%)

9 - Kentucky (57.7%), Mississippi State (37.6%), Georgia (4.7%)

10 - Georgia (95.3%), Kentucky (4.7%)

11 - South Carolina (83.9%), Vanderbilt (16.1%)

12 - Vanderbilt (83.9%), South Carolina (16.1%)

13 - Texas A&M (100%) - due to rule adjustment.
 
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Odds to get each seed using the ESPN’s Basketball Power Index projections:

1 - Alabama (100%)

2 - Arkansas (100%)

3 - LSU (85.0%), Florida (15.0%)

4 - Tennessee (68.7%), Florida (16.3%), LSU (15.0%)

5 - Missouri (47.8%), Florida (35.9%), Ole Miss (12.8%), Tennessee (3.5%)

6 - Ole Miss (51.1%), Florida (32.8%), Tennessee (16.0%)

7 - Ole Miss (34.5%), Mississippi State (29.2%), Missouri (26.3%), Tennessee (11.7%)

8 - Kentucky (37.6%), Missouri (25.9%), Mississippi State (33.2%), Ole Miss (1.6%)

9 - Kentucky (57.7%), Mississippi State (37.6%), Georgia (4.7%)

10 - Georgia (95.3%), Kentucky (4.7%)

11 - South Carolina (83.9%), Vanderbilt (16.1%)

12 - Vanderbilt (83.9%), South Carolina (16.1%)

13 - Texas A&M (100%) - due to rule adjustment.

Interesting that we are not the favorite to get any seed.
 
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Interesting that we are not the favorite to get any seed.

Yep same with Miss State I guess. At least after today's games our SEC seeding and 1st game will be clear depending on a win or a loss tomorrow. Also I think a win probably would lock in an NCAA 6 seed which would be big as far as avoiding the top seeds in that 2nd game of the tournament.
 
Looks like if we beat Tennessee we will be the #4 seed playing Ole Miss, Vandy or A&M first.

Looks like if we lose to Tennessee we will be the #5 seed playing either Vandy or A&M first.

On a good note FSU blew winning the ACC in their last ACC pre-tournament game today which should keep them from getting a 2 seed.
 
Damn went cold there at the end of the half but with Mann out can't complain about having a lead at the half.
 
Lose today and first game in SECT and we may not make the tourney. Joe has us down to a 9 seed to start the day.
 
Lose today and first game in SECT and we may not make the tourney. Joe has us down to a 9 seed to start the day.

I think with the soft bubble we are about a 100% lock to get in but a loss today and it would probably take an SEC Conference title game appearance with wins over Tenn and Bama to get a 6 seed in the NCAA tournament.
 
I would think we are a lock for the NCAA tourney regardless whether you think we are any good or not.
 
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I would think we are a lock for the NCAA tourney regardless whether you think we are any good or not.
Even if we lose first game in the SECT? I think we need to win that to be a lock. After today most likely 11 seed, which is right on the edge of bubble town. Lord forbid there are any upsets in the mid major tourneys.
 
Even if we lose first game in the SECT? I think we need to win that to be a lock. After today most likely 11 seed, which is right on the edge of bubble town. Lord forbid there are any upsets in the mid major tourneys.
We aren’t dropping 2-3 seed lines just by losing to a tournament team on the road. Look I don’t think we are they good and I’m not a fan of White but...
 
I think we are in regardless but in a way I would rather us lose to the Vandy/A&M winner right off the bat to drop us to a 10 - 12 seed area so we can avoid Gonzaga and them prior to the Sweet 16. Rather not have that 8/9 seed.
 
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We aren’t dropping 2-3 seed lines just by losing to a tournament team on the road. Look I don’t think we are they good and I’m not a fan of White but...
We dropped 3 after the home loss to mizzou, so maybe you're right. But this living life on the bubble every year is getting old.
 
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I just don't care anymore. I watched the basketball game until baseball started at 1. White's boys were up 31-17 with 3-4 minutes left in the first half and then started turning it over and missing easy shots. I didn't see but a few glimpses of the 2nd half, but even with baseball pounding FAMU 7-0 after 3 innings, they're more fun to watch than our basketball team. Even with Mann out, there is so much talent being wasted and so little improvement from most of the players, Mann being the exception. If we get into the tournament or not, who cares? Nobody seriously thinks we can do any damage. Does anyone really think we have a chance to win the SEC tournament? In spite of the excuses that will be thrown out there, this is 4 years in a row where we've underachieved. The program has plateaued, stagnated, whatever you want to call it. It is what it is until the AD decides to make a change.
 
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It really doesn’t matter what seed we get in the NCAA tourney or SEC tourney. We aren’t getting far so who cares.
 
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29-23 in conference play the last 3 seasons. Not exactly lighting the world on fire. Throw out his 14-4 second season in conference play, the other 5 have all been average to slightly above average.
 
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Our overall record and SEC record are actually worse this year than last year.
 
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