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Prediction time!

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For some reason, suddenly I am convinced this is going to be a Trump electoral landslide victory. I hope my gut is right. Check out the comments on this national article posting. It's not some right wing website, and Yahoo posted it.

 
For some reason, suddenly I am convinced this is going to be a Trump electoral landslide victory. I hope my gut is right. Check out the comments on this national article posting. It's not some right wing website, and Yahoo posted it.

See my post above. Same feeling came over me. It’s undeniable
 
Trump absolutely kicked Epstein out of Mara Lago for being a POS. I don't think that qualifies as BFF. It was Bill Clinton that was Epstein's "better half". He even had a portrait made of him and hung it on the wall in Pedo Island. 😂

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Who wears red heels with a dark blue dress?

A slut, that’s who.
 
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He only flew domestically a few times on Epstein’s plane, but he slept with Melania on it?

And the “salacious” details are all covered up by interference.

The evidence doesn’t corroborate this story at all.

If Trump is guilty why is he the only one who helped investigators?



And the source - Wolff is a rabid anti-Trumper.
 
I am so excited for this to be OVER.

I seriously believe that Trump is the favorite and I won't be shocked if he wins. I don't subscribe to he has no chance or Harris has no chance. Now I do expect if Trump loses, we will have to hear about cheating. That is pretty much baked into Trumpism. My heart says Harris and my head says Trump. With that, since I REALLY want Trump to lose, Ill follow my heart.

My Predictions for the swing states;

Mich - Harris
Wis - Harris
PA - Harris
NC - Trump
UGA - Harris
Arz - Trump
Nev - Trump

That would give Harris ~286 EVs. I don't see any states being a surprise that isn't universally viewed as a swing state. I do expect Harris to win the popular vote no matter what, by about 4%. I don't see Trump getting over 47% of the popular vote, he seems to be stuck there and that could be his ceiling.

Lastly, the winner of the presidency wins the house and the senate is a lock for the Republicans. I am guessing 50/50 at worse and 51/49 Rs at best.
Great note. I actually assisted my daughter in putting together a college paper on this today and am bleary eyed in looking at the various polls, websites, etc.

What each of the polls seem (we shall see) to say is that Pennsylvania is simply make or break.

I am also an avid reader of the Economist who, perhaps not surprisingly with his anti-immigration and pro-tariff posture (along with J6) endorsed Kamala.

With that said, it has, as of 8:52 PM CST, Trump up in PA, NV, GA, NC, AZ and Harris up in MI and WI - but only by +1. (I cannot seem to paste in the image, but here is the URL)


If that is the case, Trump wins. If the +3 polling bias holds, Trump sweeps all seven states.

What will happen? I tend to lean towards Kalim. Why? 2020 hangover. (and no - not widespread election fraud). Senate should go to R 51/49. House flips back to Democrats.

Other prediction - we will not know until EOD on Friday.

Good evening, Team Parking Lot.
 
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One thing that doesn't penetrate through most Trump supporters is....They don't understand how much Trump is hated.
@kalimgoodman That is true - especially for white females, esp. college educated.

None of my wife's female, college educated relatives, friends or colleagues will vote for Trump. None of them. My wife will not talk to me about it anymore - which ultimately, I need to respect. She will (most likely) vote for Kamala which is like Spiller picking Clemson on NSD but with far graver implications.
 
@kalimgoodman That is true - especially for white females, esp. college educated.

None of my wife's female, college educated relatives, friends or colleagues will vote for Trump. None of them. My wife will not talk to me about it anymore - which ultimately, I need to respect. She will (most likely) vote for Kamala which is like Spiller picking Clemson on NSD but with far graver implications.
I don't know what state you are living in, but that's seriously NOT the case in Florida. Not even close. 😂 My wife is about 10 years younger than I am. She used to give me hell about getting riled up about Commie Dims. In the past 4 years she's become even more bitter about them than I am, and sometimes I wish she would just keep it to herself. I don't talk much about politics at home but not for the reasons you have. I've weaned a raging, frothing at the mouth MAGA woman.😂
 
He only flew domestically a few times on Epstein’s plane, but he slept with Melania on it?

And the “salacious” details are all covered up by interference.

The evidence doesn’t corroborate this story at all.

If Trump is guilty why is he the only one who helped investigators?



And the source - Wolff is a rabid anti-Trumper.
It's Epstein words lol. Unless it's A.I.
 
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@kalimgoodman That is true - especially for white females, esp. college educated.

None of my wife's female, college educated relatives, friends or colleagues will vote for Trump. None of them. My wife will not talk to me about it anymore - which ultimately, I need to respect. She will (most likely) vote for Kamala which is like Spiller picking Clemson on NSD but with far graver implications.
See my friend, you are not a hardcore Trump supporter. So you get it.

They don't and won't.
 
See my friend, you are not a hardcore Trump supporter. So you get it.

They don't and won't.
You didn't get his memo. He HATES Whoremella and her absolute resolution to allow millions and millions of illegal aliens into this country. Reading comprehension isn't one of your strong suits.
 
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I don't know what state you are living in, but that's seriously NOT the case in Florida. Not even close. 😂 My wife is about 10 years younger than I am. She used to give me hell about getting riled up about Commie Dims. In the past 4 years she's become even more bitter about them than I am, and sometimes I wish she would just keep it to herself. I don't talk much about politics at home but not for the reasons you have. I've weaned a raging, frothing at the mouth MAGA woman.😂
I hear you. We were in Watercolor two weekends ago (love that place) and it was Trump country.

Move out of Florida and what I said is exactly the case. It is what it is, started with the access Hollywood and “mean tweets” and hit its apotheosis with overturning of Roe v Wade. Gender gap is -17 or so.

In the next election, have to do better with suburban women.
 
Ok but he also understands that majority of the country hates Trump.
Here is who hates Trump:

Black females
College educated white females
College educated Black men
Non college educated black men older millennial plus
Arabs/Muslims

The rest may be -+5 to 9 democrat but do not hate, per se.

47 - Percent of the country never want to see Trump in office again
 
White non-college:

Harris 33.9%

Trump 62.2%


White College+:

Harris 53.6%

Trump 42.0%
Around 35% of Americans age 25 or older have a college degree. I think I’d rather be Trump.

And trust me when I say college degree in and of itself does not equate to intelligence or insightful thinking.
 
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With the limited hard data you can get on these swing states I think Trump wins every swing state except Michigan. I think it would be about 297 EV.

I think the range of possible outcomes is Harris barely getting 270 by holding the blue wall to Trump winning every swing state and pulling off a shocker in NH.

If Trump is within 4% in VA or 3% in NH I think Harris is in big trouble.
 
I just don’t think they’re going to let him win. They’re going to figure something out to turn this her way. They always do. And I don’t think it will stop here. I think they will find a way to do this every election from here on out until they jam down legislation that allows illegals to vote. Then they won’t have too.

They tried to overturn the 2016 election by impeaching him on fraudulent lies. In the 2020 election, even if there wasn’t one fraudulent vote cast, it was still an unfair election because of the actions and inactions social media took. They’ve arrested him. They’ve tried to kill him twice. They’ve been safeguarding these elections behind the scenes since 2020 I’m sure.

As longtime democrat and brilliant mathematical physicist Eric Weinstein said, the core and the leadership of the Democratic Party is evil. They love power and will do anything to keep it. They’ve set the situation of calling anyone who dare doubt the election be unfair, must be crazy. They’ll do it again this year, and then they’ll call you crazy for pointing out the sky is blue.
 
FL isn't a swing state any longer but the early voting and the votes in so far today are pointing to Trump curb stomping Harris here. Some think he could win by like 14%.
 
Well, if they can believe that Trump lost because of cheating when Biden had an 8% advantage in the polls and Trump never had an approval rating over his entire presidency that reached 50% they will believe pretty much anything they are told to believe.
Even if one fraudulent vote wasn’t cast, it was an unfair election because of social media interference, which we know now as a fact.
 
@kalimgoodman That is true - especially for white females, esp. college educated.

None of my wife's female, college educated relatives, friends or colleagues will vote for Trump. None of them. My wife will not talk to me about it anymore - which ultimately, I need to respect. She will (most likely) vote for Kamala which is like Spiller picking Clemson on NSD but with far graver implications.
I wonder if that has anything to do with the radical left infiltration of the university system. It was self evident when I was at UF 15 years ago. Can’t imagine how radical it is now.
 
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White non-college:

Harris 33.9%

Trump 62.2%


White College+:

Harris 53.6%

Trump 42.0%
I wonder if the radical left taking over the university system has anything to do with this???🤔🤔🤔🤔
I mean people who claim Trump is bad for democracy all while in the same breath voting for a puppet candidate installed with zero votes couldn’t be sheep could they?
 
I wonder if that has anything to do with the radical left infiltration of the university system. It was self evident when I was at UF 15 years ago. Can’t imagine how radical it is now.
For Millennial college-age women - absolutely. Columbus was a colonist and perpetrator of genocide. Little more - and all of the indigenous peoples were simply "noble savages" who had never let gold or other corrupt their innate virtue and the slaves that boarded ships were somehow gleaned by spanish and portugese who stood 75 pounds less and many inches shorter than their west african counterparts. (to realize what BS that is, just watch any college or pro football game and percent makeup of west african american) These were african warlords who wanted to cement power by trading fellow african american war prisoners for technology to cement power. For example, Emmanuel Acho (whom I am a massive fan of), his lineage back in the 1400s were probably war lords.

My wife and I graduated in 1994, so "PC" was only starting to get discussed.

In Liberal Arts circles, professors are full on neo-Marxists.

What then turned my wife? Decorum, Ego and Abortion.
 
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White non-college:

Harris 33.9%

Trump 62.2%


White College+:

Harris 53.6%

Trump 42.0%
This is exactly it and what I have been saying for years. If you were to split the latter by male/female, the contrast is even more stark.

JD Vance has said it right and guys like Pence need to STFU and go home: it's about abortion. Republicans need to be about getting out of people's lives. If there is a moral case around abortion - then have that discussion in your family, in your church, in your community.

Matt Gaetz also hit it on recreational marijuana. Stop prosecuting (often disproportionately) guys like Harvin who want to do a little weed to take the edge off. He and AOC were aligned - good.

The hope for the party is JD and Vivek.
 
I wonder if that has anything to do with the radical left infiltration of the university system. It was self evident when I was at UF 15 years ago. Can’t imagine how radical it is now.
Damn right it is..and it is well planned by the elements of the establishment that want to take away our freedoms and control us. I never went to college as almost everyone knows on this board, and appreciate those that did. But as far as people claiming those people are smarter...just because they got a degree in my book does not make you smarter than the next guy. Educated? Yes. Smarter? I do not think so. And in todays environment in college...not so sure how much it really helps.
 
This is exactly it and what I have been saying for years. If you were to split the latter by male/female, the contrast is even more stark.

JD Vance has said it right and guys like Pence need to STFU and go home: it's about abortion. Republicans need to be about getting out of people's lives. If there is a moral case around abortion - then have that discussion in your family, in your church, in your community.

Matt Gaetz also hit it on recreational marijuana. Stop prosecuting (often disproportionately) guys like Harvin who want to do a little weed to take the edge off. He and AOC were aligned - good.

The hope for the party is JD and Vivek.
I respectfully disagree here. Partly. As long as federal money is used..it IS my business. And then lets talk about the point where it IS murder. I actually believe we are closer now to a real compromise than we have ever been. Let me explain. Republicans not long ago were pro life....THE END. NO abortions. They have moved considerably on that stance. And the left has also moved...more to the left. They want unobstructed abortions. That will NEVER happen federally. Lets pick an acceptable time that they are allowed...and pass that...and let states work inside that guideline.
 
For Millennial college-age women - absolutely. Columbus was a colonist and perpetrator of genocide. Little more - and all of the indigenous peoples were simply "noble savages" who had never let gold or other corrupt their innate virtue and the slaves that boarded ships were somehow gleaned by spanish and portugese who stood 75 pounds less and many inches shorter than their west african counterparts. (to realize what BS that is, just watch any college or pro football game and percent makeup of west african american) These were african warlords who wanted to cement power by trading fellow african american war prisoners for technology to cement power. For example, Emmanuel Acho (whom I am a massive fan of), his lineage back in the 1400s were probably war lords.

My wife and I graduated in 1994, so "PC" was only starting to get discussed.

In Liberal Arts circles, professors are full on neo-Marxists.

What then turned my wife? Decorum, Ego and Abortion.
Abortion for sure. That would make perfect sense. I’d argue their is minuscule difference between the two in decorum and ego.
 
Abortion for sure. That would make perfect sense. I’d argue their is minuscule difference between the two in decorum and ego.
True, and she is just outright stupid when it comes to business, the economy, and world diplomacy. Trump's a master negotiator to get intended results. The Democrats just give our treasure away internationally, if it hurts Americans, they could not care less. The entire purpose of imposing tariffs is to bring other countries' draconian tariffs to their knees. The intended result is NOT us paying higher prices, but to force a better balance of trade which helps not only American businesses but our employment numbers as well.
 
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Around 35% of Americans age 25 or older have a college degree. I think I’d rather be Trump.

And trust me when I say college degree in and of itself does not equate to intelligence or insightful thinking.
No, a college degree itself doesn't prove that on an individual basis. But it does on a group basis. When I went through school, almost all the smarter kids went to college. When my kids went through school, same thing. Of course there are some exceptions, but as a general rule that is the case.

But to hear the Trump crowd all the smart college kids have been brainwashed and its the guys who stayed home and became Plumbers and Electricians......its those guys who have it all figured out. I mean, you have to be part of a cult to think like that.

But I will hand it to Trump.....he surely knows how to connect with that group. That is his superpower.
 
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