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Let's get Nate Silver and RCP on the record before Red Wave crashes on the shores

GhostOfMatchesMalone

Ring of Honor
Oct 1, 2012
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Nate Silver this morning has the Republicans with a 12.3% chance of winning the House.

RCP says Dems lead 203-194 seats in the House, with 38 tossups.

For Senate, Nate says Republicans have an 80.9% chance of holding, that's actually down about 6 points today. LOL

RCP is even worse, they now have the Republicans leading the Senate 49-43 seats. But this morning they moved North Dakota OUT of Republican status. Heidi Hitcamp has essentially suspended her campaign and conceded but RCP is still holding out hope on Election Day LOL

Remember: Polls are used to SHAPE public opinion. Clear message being sent to Dems by the two above polls especially with sudden shifts in the Senate in favor of Dems, on Election Day.

What a coincidence...
 
Case in point:



But RCP decided not to include this poll in its averages. I checked, adding this poll alone would drop Stabenow's RCP lead over James by 2 points.

Shaping public opinion...
 
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