Every year, several recruiting sites (247 Sports, Rivals, ESPN) release their recruiting rankings…but, just how accurate are these rankings?
How good are we at predicting potential? This…was a project. I spent weeks (with the friendly help of others) building spreadsheets full of prior recruiting years (2-5 Stars with Rivals and 247Sports). We used Rivals for the All-Pro examination, as many of the players that are All-Pro’s from the last decade predated 247Sports.
For the draft accuracy, we examined 247Sports, as this was fresher data coming from what most would consider the most accurate (we used their composite rankings).
00:00 Predicting Potential
01:27 Recruiting…is Weird
04:35 Long-term Analysis
13:10 NFL Draft Accuracy
15:10 Correlation to Winning
How good are we at predicting potential? This…was a project. I spent weeks (with the friendly help of others) building spreadsheets full of prior recruiting years (2-5 Stars with Rivals and 247Sports). We used Rivals for the All-Pro examination, as many of the players that are All-Pro’s from the last decade predated 247Sports.
For the draft accuracy, we examined 247Sports, as this was fresher data coming from what most would consider the most accurate (we used their composite rankings).
00:00 Predicting Potential
01:27 Recruiting…is Weird
04:35 Long-term Analysis
13:10 NFL Draft Accuracy
15:10 Correlation to Winning
