The Trafalgar Group Polls

[gator1776]

They were the most accurate in 2016 and were far more predictive than the RCP average of polls which were completely inaccurate in 2016

Here is where they stand as of October Polls:

Michigan: Trump 46.5%, Biden 45.9
Florida: Trump 48.4%, Biden 46.1%
Pennsylvania: Biden 47.4%, Trump 45.1%
Arizona: Trump 47.8%, Biden 43.8%
Ohio: Trump 47.6%, Biden 43.9%

And here were their latest polls from some key states:

North Carolina: Trump 47.8%, Biden 46.1%, September 14
Missouri: Trump 51.9%, Biden 41.2%, August 31
Wisconsin: Trump 46.2%, Biden 45.4%, August 26

All of which flies in the face of everything we are being told. BTW the margin of error for most of the Trafalgar Group Polls listed was +/- 4%

If you were to go by these, then President Trump wins.

Trafalgar Group – Nationally Recognized Polling & Marketing Strategy

www.thetrafalgargroup.org

 

[gator1776]

If trump wins only these states he is up in, and holds Georgia and Texas, that's 278 electoral Votes

Even if he loses Iowa, Minnesota, Nevada, and Pennsylvania....................................hmmmmm

And if you swamp Iowa for Wisconsin, Trump still wins with 274 electoral Votes......................hmmmm

Looking a lot like Michigan may be the key this year. Hope those involved in the coup against the governor are allowed to vote 😆😆😆

 

[Sunburnt Indian]

RNC internal looks good for Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Florida, Minnesota, Nevada, Wisconsin. Nevada mail in is controlled by Dimms. Hispanics look better for Trump in 2020 as do black Americans.

 

[gator1776]

RNC internal looks good for Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Florida, Minnesota, Nevada, Wisconsin. Nevada mail in is controlled by Dimms. Hispanics look better for Trump in 2020 as do black Americans.

Have heard the same.

If, and it is a big IF, but if true, who will be on suicide watch for @BSC911

 

[LinksGator]

He will probably inject bleach, ByCloroxSuicide

 

[GhostOfMatchesMalone]

Lets wait till the Biden emails are factored into polling.

 

[GhostOfMatchesMalone]

Have heard the same.

If, and it is a big IF, but if true, who will be on suicide watch for @BSC911

Well @BSC911 has said his situation will be the same no matter who wins, and he just lost Premium membership due to lack of funds so.....

 

[Ncgatr1]

I don’t see Biden winning Pennsylvania. No way Biden is up 2.3 pts.

 

[GhostOfMatchesMalone]

Washington, Oregon and Hawaii seem to be the only 'in the bag' states for Hiden. He'll win more than that, but he can count on very few today.

 

[kjfreeze]

And do they take into account the silent Trump voters?

 

[GhostOfMatchesMalone]

And do they take into account the silent Trump voters?

They do, actually. Rush was talking about how they did this in 2016, they asked respondents who they would be voting for then asked "Who do you think your neighbors will be voting for?" idea was that some Trump supporters wouldn't admit they were voting for Trump but would say their neighbors were. Which was really them answering for themselves. Seemed to work as they got 2016 right.

 

[Ncgatr1]

I’m ready to stand in line for two hours in November. I have already planned to come to work late. There is going to be long lines of the silent majority.

 

[gator1776]

And do they take into account the silent Trump voters?

Well that’s actually what the Trafalgar group is famous for, they identified the hidden Trump voters with nobody else did in 2016.

 

[fsumc]

This is going to be a long drawn out election finish. Biden will not concede on election night no matter how bleak it looks. There will be reports of new ballots found just pouring in. The potential for fraud with these blanketed mail in ballots is just as dangerous for the senate as the presidency. This is all too predictable.

 

[nail1988]

RNC internal looks good for Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Florida, Minnesota, Nevada, Wisconsin. Nevada mail in is controlled by Dimms. Hispanics look better for Trump in 2020 as do black Americans.

Sunny

iBD/Tiff poll tells me Biden Now under 50% losing a point day and in a steady decline while MAGA gaining

Biden 47%

Trump 43%

 

[jmlabree]

Lets wait till the Biden emails are factored into polling.

Moderates and Libs prolly won't care - I hope it matters, but doubt it will affect them. A moderate, but Trump hating friend of mine posted yesterday that The Deep State is a fabrication of the right to protect the idiocies of President Trump. This is where their thinking lies - pathetic. I am however, buoyed by the polls above. THX Doc.

 

[jmlabree]

This is going to be a long drawn out election finish. Biden will not concede on election night no matter how bleak it looks. There will be reports of new ballots found just pouring in. The potential for fraud with these blanketed mail in ballots is just as dangerous for the senate as the presidency. This is all too predictable.

I have listened to many economic webinars on the election. One thing they all agree on is this will be a protracted election outcome. It could take a few days to a week, or more. Mail in ballots in some swing states are allowed to be 9, 10 and 13 days late. They must be postmarked the day before the election though-or so I believe.
In Philly an elections supervisor was interviewed. He said Dems outnumber Repubs 7-1, but for mail in ballots it is more like 17-1. WOW!!!!

 

[GhostOfMatchesMalone]

Moderates and Libs prolly won't care - I hope it matters, but doubt it will affect them. A moderate, but Trump hating friend of mine posted yesterday that The Deep State is a fabrication of the right to protect the idiocies of President Trump. This is where their thinking lies - pathetic. I am however, buoyed by the polls above. THX Doc.

I don't think it will be a huge mover, but most of these states are already within the margin of error, so any movement at all against Hiden would be a big deal.

Plus I think this story is just developing. Media and Hiden are joined at the hip to shut it down. That tells me there's potentially BAD stuff coming.

 

[nail1988]

Chuckles Schumer won’t lime this

 

[GhostOfMatchesMalone]

Chuckles Schumer won’t lime this

View embedded media

Good. That kid has a bright future.