I am so excited for this to be OVER.
I seriously believe that Trump is the favorite and I won't be shocked if he wins. I don't subscribe to he has no chance or Harris has no chance. Now I do expect if Trump loses, we will have to hear about cheating. That is pretty much baked into Trumpism. My heart says Harris and my head says Trump. With that, since I REALLY want Trump to lose, Ill follow my heart.
My Predictions for the swing states;
Mich - Harris
Wis - Harris
PA - Harris
NC - Trump
UGA - Harris
Arz - Trump
Nev - Trump
That would give Harris ~286 EVs. I don't see any states being a surprise that isn't universally viewed as a swing state. I do expect Harris to win the popular vote no matter what, by about 4%. I don't see Trump getting over 47% of the popular vote, he seems to be stuck there and that could be his ceiling.
Lastly, the winner of the presidency wins the house and the senate is a lock for the Republicans. I am guessing 50/50 at worse and 51/49 Rs at best.
