Looking at Iowa's schedule, the Hawkeyes are currently on a 3-game winning streak:
NE (40-10), IL (28-0), & Michigan (14-13).
Of Iowa's 4 losses, two have come against the following bowl teams:
Wisconsin (9-17), Penn St (14-41).
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Florida is on another end of the year 2-game losing streak:
Alabama (16-54), FSU (13-31).
Florida's best wins have come against the following:
LSU (16-10), Georgia (24-10), Kentucky (45-7).
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Florida has not scored 20 or more points since the South Carolina & Georgia games. This is also Florida's 5th neutral site/road game out of their last six games. If Florida can hold Iowa to under 20 points (<14 points) than the Gators have a chance for the victory; otherwise, I see the Hawkeyes winning it.
The Gator homer in me says Florida wins:
UF - 20 Iowa - 17.