My best guess…..oh hell, it’s not a guess. Desantis (propped by media) will win the nomination because he is not like Trump (they are already saying this). After the nomination….He is worse than Trump, they will scream.
On Election night (month). After weeks of counting the dem candidate overtakes Ron, and his political career ends.
Mike Mulvaney was on Chris Cuomo (very surprised to believe that Trump ever hired him) and said, probably accurately, that Trump will get 35 to 40% of republican votes in any primary fight. I think that is dead right, if not more.
If multiple people run and dilute the non-Trump MAGA/Republican vote, then I can easily see Trump winning the nomination even if DeSantis runs.
DeSantis, as Ghost has noted before, is in the driver's seat, politically. He can bow out and easily look at 2028. If Trump flames out, then it is done. He moves forward with a clean slate.
If DeSantis goes toe to toe, he better be ready to be a "giant killer" and not alienate the core MAGA base. Trump is revered by the base as this board has shown again and again.
The "move to the middle" is always hard. Most people would agree with me on policy, and the take my policy on Abortion and the invectives fly. That is but one example.
Should be interesting.
I actually see a Democrat winning 2024 and the republicans keeping the house and winning the senate.